My sincere thanks to Carl for braving Gooner territory to preview this game for The Gun Show. It's interesting to hear what fans of the opposition have to say on our team as well as their own, particularly when they support United and their team is looking a bit mince. Over to you, Carl...
Impressions of Arsenal
Growing up as a Manchester United fan in the all conquering 90’s, Arsenal were the first team to truly challenge our unequivocal dominance. Being accustomed to success, the triumph of Wenger’s team in 1998 came as a shock to the system. The broody mix of Gallic power and craft along side an ageing rock of defenders pierced United’s invincibility. Then followed the extraordinary mix of pace and skill of the Henry–Pires era, which was frighteningly good, and made me sick to my stomach watching.
The demise of Arsenal over the last ten years is akin to seeing a once swaggering lothario, who you grudgingly respected, slowly succumbing to alcoholism. Trudging wildly from one embarrassment to the next, the 8-2 defeat being the nadir where said lotahrio turned up pissed at a wedding, punched the groom, then fell on the cake, losing the once held respect of everyone in the room. It’s a darkly amusing, yet sorry sight. It came to a point when looking at the scoreboard that day that I actually felt sorry for Arsène. That is a thought that, from a United fan, should strike shame into any Arsenal supporter.
This season I’ve started hating Arsenal again. They seem to have finally formed some kind of identity and balance to the side and have grown in confidence with their big name ‘Galactico’. I still think they lack that second key striker and a couple of back-up centre backs to truly challenge for the league. You could see them losing a couple of games around Christmas and the whole thing falling apart again. That would be a shame in some sense, as they’ve only just got back on the wagon.
Thoughts on David Moyes
The main problem for David Moyes is his face. There’s not really a lot he can do about that; it’s his face. But I believe it has caused him no end of trouble. He seems to have two main facial expressions. First is his gormless, crooked grin stare, which was largely seen early on in pre-season when posing for badly judged PR shots. The one of him sat behind the desk at Carrington with a does-this-chair-fit, work placement posture was particularly cringe inducing. The second is his befuddled, angry stare. It’s the kind of stare you’d have if you’d just walked into the living room to find your dog dry humping the chaise longue [I had to google this. You learn something new every day - ed]. This scowl doesn’t project any sense of control; it just makes him look baffled and frustrated.
Of course it is ludicrous to suggest that Moyes facial signals have a huge contributing factor in how United perform on the pitch. But knowing how well the media like to weave narratives, particularly the ‘downfall of United’ story they have been waiting so patiently for, a picture of Moyes’ troubled expression on the touchline lends particularly well next to an ‘end is nigh’ headline. This perception slowly feeds through to the players, and they immediately have a get-out clause for a bad performance. I’m only half joking here.
Moyes is an above-average manager. He hasn’t proven anything otherwise in his career to date. Of course he has a chance to disprove it now, but there is no evidence to suggest he will. Above-average managers can win trophies with good teams: Mancini and Houlier are two recent cases in point. But they don’t win Champions Leagues that often and they certainly don’t usher in, or continue, periods of dominance. And that’s fine in some sense; all periods of dominance eventually end. What’s important is that in 5 years time Manchester United are still in a position to compete at the top. And unless it goes catastrophically wrong over the next few years (with the Glazers at the helm, don’t discount it) they probably will be. Whether that will be with Moyes or someone else may depend on how quickly he can get a face coach.
Key battles
A big question for United is whether both RVP and Rooney play. Van Persie's absence from the starting line up midweek would point to him starting, and with United having home advantage they will probably both play. Against Arsenal's vibrant midfield Moyes may be tempted to go with three in midfield but given Rooney's form he'll be a vital big game asset.
The pairing of Cleverly and Jones in centre midfield against Fulham, while both are shaky in possession, gives United much more mobility than with the leaden-footed Fellani, and gives Rooney the freedom to break forward more often. Carrick's fitness is a real concern as he is far and away the best passer; his pinpoint passing from deep will be key to getting the ball quickly to Rooney and the channels, instigating a bursting attack. Arsenal may get lots of possession high up the pitch so this will be a key route of attack for United.
One of the few plus points for United this season, along with Rooney's return to form, has been the improvement of Patrice Evra. His drive and overlapping runs have been a real outlet on the left. More often in recent seasons his surging bursts have led to a disappointing end product, but so far this season he has assisted 3 goals. In Sagna he has a worthy opponent, and with the likelihood it will be Kagawa on the left alongside Evra, who will be keen to drift inside, it is a battle Sagna should edge.
What the game will tell us about Manchester United.
As with all games against the big sides this early on in the season, they only really mean anything retrospectively. However, if United lose they will be 11 points behind Arsenal. A Fergie-led United side would sneer at that feeble challenge, like a boxer allowing his opponent some free shots in the early rounds to gain confidence, and then pummelling them into submission later on. But this is a disjointed, confused Manchester United side. That swagger and confidence has now been called into question.
And make no mistake, the big battle for United this season will be to finish above Arsenal. With Man City looking like clear favourites, finishing above Arsenal will probably mean 2nd or 3rd and will be an on par performance for Moyes this season. It would be the acceptable ‘transition’ season to build from. So what would a victory against Arsenal on Sunday tell us about that possibility? In the last season Arsenal finished above United, back in 2005, United won 2-0 at Old Trafford and romped to a 4-2 win at Highbury. Since 2005 United have won eight of their Premier League meetings to Arsenal’s four. In the last three seasons where Arsenal have won (twice in 2006-07, once in2008-09 and 2010-11), United have gone on to win the league. So if the recent stats tell us anything (and they don’t), a losing team will ultimately prosper.
Prediction
1-1
Arsenal have a deceptively poor recent record at Old Trafford. Their memorable title winning victories of 1998 and 2002 hide the fact that they have only three wins at Old Trafford in Premier League history, and they have never won by a scoreline greater than 1-0. The one time they scored more than once at Old Trafford in the Premier League they lost 8-2. In that sense Sunday could prove a substantial opportunity to put a marker down for Arsenal; that a new regime at Old Trafford serves as a precedent to disregard their poor Old Trafford form.
Arsenal will want to prove their title credentials but avoid defeat and United will want to keep their tame unbeaten run going. United will hopefully learn the lesson of their hammering at the hands of City and keep it much tighter between midfield and defence.
Check back again on Saturday if you would like to read the Gun Show's very own Arsenalcentric, van Persie-slating preview of the game...